World Became Less Peaceful in 2008: 3rd Annual Global Peace Index Points to Economic Crisis as Main Cause of Decline in Peacefulness

June 2, 2009

New Zealand World’s Most Peaceful Country, United States Climbs Six Spots to 83rd Place

Bosnia & Herzegovina Most Improved; Moves Up 23 Places

Madagascar Sees Biggest Fall; Drops 30 Spots

An Estimated US$4.8 Trillion Could be Added to Global Economy if World Became More Peaceful

WASHINGTON, June 2 /PRNewswire-USNewswire/ — The global economic recession and an increase in violent conflict and political instability around the planet have taken a toll on world peacefulness in 2008, according to the 2009 Global Peace Index (GPI) released today in events in Washington and London, including an event at Washington’s Center for Strategic and International Studies.

The results of the 2009 GPI show that as the global economy headed into recession in 2008, many of the indicators used by the GPI to measure peace, such as the likelihood of violent demonstrations and political instability, increased, while others — such as respect for human rights — decreased. Iceland presented one of several examples of the links between the global economic crisis and a decline in peacefulness. The country, which topped the 2008 GPI, fell to fourth place this year after its economy collapsed.

Now in its third year, the GPI is the world’s only index to rank countries according to their relative states of peace. It has been endorsed by a number of prominent individuals, including Nobel Peace Laureates, royalty, dignitaries and members of the business community.

The Index defines peace as “the absence of violence,” and looks at 23 qualitative and quantitative indicators of external and internal measures of peacefulness. Internally, these include homicides, percentage of the population in jail, availability of guns, and level of organized crime. External indicators include the size of the military, exports and imports of arms, battlefield deaths, UN peacekeeping contributions, and relations with neighboring states.

“Peace is a concrete aim that can be measured and valued, not just in social terms but in economic terms,” said Clyde McConaghy, president of the GPI from the Institute for Economics and Peace, a new think tank that produces the Index. The Institute aims to help the private sector, academic community, civil society, international institutions and governments gain a better understanding of how peace and economics are linked, and how to proactively use peace to achieve their respective goals.

“There is a clear correlation between the economic crisis and the decline in peace. This confirms that there is a real-world economic value for peace. It creates an environment where it is easier for workers to produce, business to sell, entrepreneurs and scientists to innovate and governments to regulate, and that in turn creates wealth,” he added.

“Because they can work better with others, peaceful countries can constructively work together on solving some of our most pressing economic, social and environmental problems. Indeed, peace is the prerequisite to helping solve today’s major challenges, such as food and water scarcity, decreasing biodiversity or climate change.”

Mr. McConaghy pointed to the results of a groundbreaking study, released alongside the 2009 GPI, which estimates the economic impact of lost peace on the global economy at US$7.2 trillion per year. US$4.8 trillion would be value added from business activities that never see the light of day due to violence. A further US$2.4 trillion relates to the redeployment of resources and expenditure away from industries benefiting from violence to those that benefit from peace.

“The reality is that the net economic benefit of peace to humanity is substantial, and governments and businesses should seriously consider how adopting practices and policies that promote peace helps their bottom line. It is this kind of thinking that the Institute for Economics and Peace will promote,” he added.

The United States jumped six spots this year to 83rd place. Speaking to the change in the United States’ ranking, Leo Abruzzese, director of country and economic research, North America at the Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU), which calculates the GPI data on behalf of the Institute for Economics and Peace, said:

“The six-point jump is partially because of an improvement in the indicator for potential terrorist acts in the United States and the general decrease in other countries’ rankings relative to the United States. But although the United States saw an increase in ranking despite the economic crisis, some factors — such as the ease of access to weapons, a large prison population and ongoing combat deaths — prevented it from ranking higher this year.”

New Zealand ranked as the world’s most peaceful country, followed by Denmark and Norway. Rounding out the top five were Iceland in fourth place and Austria in fifth. Overall, the GPI revealed that small, stable and democratic countries ranked highest; 14 of the top 20 countries are western or central European democracies.

Iraq was again the world’s least peaceful country in 2008, remaining in 144th place. Afghanistan, Somalia, Israel and Sudan were the next least peaceful, ranking 143rd-140th respectively. Bosnia and Herzegovina was the biggest riser, up 23 places to 50th position this year, while Madagascar saw the biggest fall in ranking (30 places) amid mounting political instability and violent demonstrations.

Other key findings:
–  Three of the world’s major military-diplomatic powers continue to
register relatively low rankings, with China at 74, the United States
at 83 and Russia at 136.
–  Recent members of the EU fare well, with Slovenia and the Czech
Republic leading the way (9th and 11th places, respectively).

–  Angola had an impressive rise to 100th place from 116 last year, while
Mexico, buffeted by increased drug-related violence, dropped 16 spots
to 108th place this year.

The development of the 2009 GPI is overseen by an international team of peace experts and is calculated by the Economist Intelligence Unit on behalf of the Institute for Economics and Peace, using 2008 data from a wide range of respected sources, including the International Institute of Strategic Studies, SIPRI, the World Bank, various United Nations offices and peace institutes.

It is endorsed by prominent individuals including Nobel Laureates Martti Ahtisaari, the former President of Finland, Archbishop Desmond Tutu, His Holiness the Dalai Lama, President Jimmy Carter and Kofi Annan, the former Secretary-General of the United Nations, as well as individuals from the world of business, including Sir Richard Branson.

For more information and a full list of rankings please visit www.visionofhumanity.org.

About the Institute for Economics and Peace:

Formed in 2008 by an endowment by Mr. Steve Killelea, an Australian international technology entrepreneur and philanthropist, the Institute for Economics and Peace is a research institute that aims to help the private sector, academic community, civil society, international institutions and governments gain a better understanding of how peace and economics are linked, and how to proactively use peace to achieve their goals. The Institute conducts research and education, generates dialogue, and publicizes the output of its activities with a view to impacting the public agenda and contributing significantly to the public debate on peace.

About the Global Peace Index:

Produced by the Institute for Economics and Peace, the GPI represents a ground-breaking milestone in the study of peace. It is the first index ever to rank the nations of the world by their peacefulness and to identify potential drivers of peace. The GPI ranks 144 nations according to their “absence of violence.” It is composed of 23 qualitative and quantitative indicators from highly respected sources, which combine factors internal to a country and external to it. An international team of peace experts has overseen the development of the GPI with data collated and calculated by the Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU).

Source: Global Peace Index
Web Site: http://www.visionofhumanity.org/

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